America on Track for Biden-Trump Rematch in 2024 Election
As the 2024 election approaches, it seems likely that America will witness a rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. This election, like the previous one, is expected to be decided by a few thousand votes in swing states, barring any major world shock or political upset.
A Divided Congress and Limited Progress
Additionally, the country is heading towards a narrowly divided Congress, making it difficult for the winner to accomplish much. The lack of a clear majority will hinder the ability to pass significant legislation.
Expanding Trump’s Coalition
However, there is a hidden opportunity for Donald Trump to enlarge his coalition and capitalize on it. In 2016, Trump’s victory relied on the support of what his opponent referred to as “the deplorables” – individuals who felt left behind and despised by the out-of-touch establishment. With Biden’s embrace of controversial policies, such as those related to the border, budget, and gender definitions, he has alienated even more people who could be considered part of this “basket of deplorables.”
Trump’s Current Standing
While Trump has not yet secured the nomination, he remains a strong contender. His recent primary victory in New Hampshire against Nikki Haley indicates his continued popularity within the Republican Party. However, his team is eager to eliminate any anti-Trump sentiment within the party to ensure a united front for the general election.
The Challenge of Attracting Key Voters
Trump’s team is puzzled by the lack of support from certain demographics, such as “soccer moms.” The reasons for this are evident: the denial of the election results, the resulting January 6th riot, and Trump’s crude behavior and insults. These qualities, which appeal to his base, repel many potential supporters. It is crucial for the MAGA movement to recognize that a base is meant to be built upon, not alienated.
Targeting Disillusioned Voters
Many of these disillusioned voters, including some who support Nikki Haley, can still be swayed. They are individuals who have been negatively impacted by Biden’s policies, such as the skyrocketing inflation and the open border, which has led to an influx of illegal migrants and the distribution of deadly fentanyl. These issues have particularly affected working-class jobs and have contributed to a decline in support from black and Hispanic communities.
Disapproval of Biden’s Policies
Beyond these specific concerns, regular Americans are frustrated with Biden’s alignment with the “woke elite” and their push for policies like banning gas stoves, imposing racial quotas, and promoting gender inclusivity in sports and bathrooms. Furthermore, Biden’s handling of foreign affairs, including the withdrawal from Afghanistan and his approach to conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, has also garnered criticism.
The High Stakes of the Election
The upcoming election holds significant consequences for the future of America. Its outcome could shape the country for decades to come. While a generic Republican candidate would likely defeat Biden, Trump’s polarizing nature makes it more challenging for him to secure victory. It is crucial for Trump to focus on Biden’s failures rather than making the election solely about himself.
Can Trump Rise to the Occasion?
Trump’s recent victory speech in New Hampshire did not inspire confidence in his ability to change his approach. However, there is still hope that he can modulate his behavior enough to avoid self-sabotage. The Trump movement has always been larger than the man himself, and by shifting the focus onto Biden, it can continue to grow.
