Iran's power structure remains intact despite 12,000-20,000 protest deaths, with Khamenei maintaining control through IRGC loyalty, intelligence services, and judiciary. Analysis covers Supreme Leader's command of 150,000-200,000 Revolutionary Guard troops, mass arrests of 50,000+, internet blackouts, economic collapse with 52% inflation, broken fear deterrent, regional powers' backchannel diplomacy for off-ramps, and expert assessments that regime shows tactical strength but strategic weakness. Brookings: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/is-iran-on-the-brink-of-change/ , Washington Institute: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/irans-regime-has-already-lost-its-most-potent-weapon , Hudson Institute: https://www.hudson.org/foreign-policy/ayatollahs-regime-crumbling-michael-doran
#IranRegime #KhameneiControl #IRGC
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