Exploring Potential Trade-Deadline Scenarios for Justin Verlander Amidst Astros’ Struggles
The Houston Astros have had a rough start to the season, leaving many fans wondering if they could end up as sellers at the trade deadline. This idea may seem far-fetched considering the Astros’ recent success, but it’s not entirely out of the question.
One key factor to consider is the return of Justin Verlander. Verlander recently returned from the injured list and pitched six strong innings in his first start back. His presence in the rotation could provide a much-needed boost for the Astros. Additionally, the potential return of Framber Valdez from his elbow concerns could further stabilize the rotation.
The Astros also have promising young pitchers like Christian Javier and breakout performer Ronel Blanco who could contribute to the rotation. If Hunter Brown can improve and bridge the gap until Luis Garcia and Lance McCullers Jr. return from injury in the second half of the season, the Astros may have a chance to turn things around.
Despite their struggles, it’s important to note that the Astros have played the toughest schedule over the first three weeks of the season. According to Powers Rankings Guru, they are projected to have the second-easiest schedule for the rest of the season. This favorable schedule could work in their favor as they try to climb back into contention.
Another factor to consider is the Astros’ bullpen. While Bryan Abreu, Ryan Pressly, and Josh Hader have struggled so far this season, it’s unlikely that they will continue to be a liability. In fact, they have the potential to be one of the team’s greatest assets.
The Astros’ track record is also worth considering. They have made seven straight appearances in the American League Championship Series, showcasing their pedigree as a winning team. It’s not wise to count them out just yet.
Several prominent standings projection systems still give the Astros a good chance of winning the AL West. Baseball Prospectus and Fangraphs calculate their chances at 66.5 percent and 44.2 percent, respectively. Additionally, both systems give the Astros a decent chance of winning the World Series, with percentages in the single digits.
While Baseball Reference is more pessimistic, projecting the Astros to finish third in the division, their World Series odds are still viewed better than the 14-6 Yankees. These projections should be taken with a grain of salt, but they serve as a reminder not to abandon the Astros just yet.
It’s important to remember that even good teams have bad stretches throughout a season. The 2023 Rangers went through a rough patch but still managed to win the World Series. The 2021 Braves and the 2019 Nationals also started slow but ended up winning it all.
With plenty of time left until the trade deadline, there’s still a chance for the Astros to turn things around. They have a strong roster, three wild card spots available, and a franchise-record payroll. Owner Jim Crane has shown a willingness to invest in the team’s success, as seen in his acquisition of Josh Hader.
However, if the Astros continue to struggle and it becomes clear that their championship window has closed, they may have to consider making some tough decisions. Players like Verlander, Pressly, Alex Bregman, and Valdez could become trade assets if the Astros believe they are unsignable. It’s also possible that a total rebuild could be on the horizon, with players like Yordan Alvarez potentially being moved.
Overall, it’s too early to determine what the Astros’ future holds. While they have had a rough start to the season, there is still time for them to bounce back. If they do become sellers, it’s likely that they would aim to clear salary and add prospects while building around players like Alvarez. The road ahead may be uncertain, but one thing is for sure: nothing lasts forever in baseball.
