In the dynamic landscape of the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has emerged as a formidable frontrunner in New Hampshire, according to a recent poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire. With a notable 19% support, Buttigieg surpasses California Governor Gavin Newsom, who trails by four percentage points, and other prominent figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former Vice President Kamala Harris, who garnered 14% and 11% respectively.
The poll surveyed 596 voters intending to participate in the Democratic primary, revealing Buttigieg’s robust appeal through a striking +75% favorability rating. This translates to an impressive 81% of respondents expressing a favorable opinion of him, while a mere 6% viewed him unfavorably. Such numbers not only indicate his popularity but also underscore his potential as a candidate who can resonate with a broad range of voters. In comparison, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez also enjoy favorable ratings, at +59% and +56%, respectively, while Newsom stands at +47%, and Harris at a notably lower +38%.
Despite his favorable ratings, Buttigieg’s tenure as Transportation Secretary has not been without controversy. Critics have pointed to his allocation of $80 billion toward diversity, equity, and inclusion grants, suggesting that this focus may have detracted from critical infrastructure improvements, such as air traffic control upgrades. Additionally, his approval of windmill projects near highways and railroads, despite acknowledging safety concerns, has raised eyebrows among safety advocates. These controversies could potentially influence voter perception as the campaign progresses.
New Hampshire’s status as the first state to hold primary contests adds a layer of significance to Buttigieg’s lead. The state’s demographic composition has drawn scrutiny from the Democratic National Committee, which has expressed intentions to reassess its first-in-the-nation designation. However, New Hampshire remains bound by state law to retain this status, ensuring that its primary retains a spotlight on national politics.
In contrast to the Democratic field, the Republican primary showcases Vice President JD Vance leading with a staggering 51% support among likely voters. This robust backing positions him significantly ahead of his closest challengers, including former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, who stand at 9% and 8%, respectively. Vance’s net-favorability rating, at +64%, further solidifies his dominance within the Republican ranks, outpacing Rubio and Gabbard, both at +46%.
As the primaries approach, the evolving dynamics within both parties will be pivotal. For Buttigieg, maintaining his lead amid criticisms while appealing to a diverse electorate will be crucial. Meanwhile, Vance’s commanding position in the Republican field raises questions about the potential for a divided party as candidates vie for the nomination. The upcoming months will undoubtedly shape the narrative of the 2028 election, making it essential for both parties to engage with the pressing issues that matter to voters.
