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Concerns arise on Wall Street regarding NYCB’s loan losses and deposit levels, resulting in stock plunging below $4.

New York Community Bank (NYCB) is facing mounting concerns on Wall Street as its stock price plunges below $4. The troubled lender recently restated its quarterly earnings lower by $2.4 billion, replaced its CEO, and delayed the release of a key annual report. The most alarming aspect is the revelation of “material weaknesses” in the bank’s oversight of its loan portfolio, raising fears about credit costs in the future.

Analysts are particularly worried about NYCB’s interest-only multi-family portfolio, which may require a long workout period if interest rates do not decline. This development comes as a surprise, considering that NYCB was seen as one of the winners from last year’s banking turmoil, having acquired assets from Signature Bank following government seizure. Now, the bank finds itself facing existential questions of its own.

The bank’s downward trajectory started with a disastrous fourth-quarter report, which included a surprise loss, dividend cuts, and unexpected loan-loss provisions. Moody’s subsequently downgraded NYCB’s credit ratings to junk due to concerns about the bank’s risk management capabilities following the departure of key executives.

Although some analysts initially found comfort in NYCB’s efforts to shore up its capital and the promotion of Alessandro DiNello to executive chairman, doubts have resurfaced regarding the stability of the bank’s deposits amid the ongoing turmoil. The bank has not provided an update on its deposits, leading analysts to speculate that they may have decreased following the credit rating downgrade.

The pressure on NYCB’s operations and profitability, coupled with elevated interest rates and an uncertain outlook for loan defaults, has raised questions about whether the bank will be forced to sell itself to a more stable partner. However, experts note that banks trading below $5 per share are often perceived as being at risk for government seizure, making potential buyers hesitant to consider acquiring NYCB.

NYCB’s stock hit a 52-week low of $3.32 per share, further fueling speculation about the bank’s future. While NYCB’s CEO is confident in the bank’s turnaround plan and its strong liquidity and deposit base, the uncertainty surrounding its operations has left many skeptical.

The situation continues to unfold, and more updates are expected in the coming weeks. NYCB’s ability to address its material weaknesses and stabilize its operations will determine its fate in the face of mounting concerns on Wall Street.

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