Oil Prices Rise Amid Middle East Tensions and Angola’s Departure from OPEC
LONDON—Oil prices rose as much as 1 percent on Friday as tensions persisted in the Middle East following Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea, although Angola’s decision to leave OPEC raised questions over the group’s effectiveness in supporting prices.
Oil Prices Surge Amidst Middle East Tensions
Brent crude futures were up 71 cents, or 0.89 percent, to $80.10 a barrel at 1140 GMT ahead of Friday’s earlier 1230 GMT close ahead of the Christmas holiday weekend. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 81 cents, or 1.1 percent, at $74.70 a barrel. At its intra-day peak, WTI traded $1 higher than Thursday’s close.
Both Brent and WTI futures were on track for a near 5 percent week-on-week gain, buoyed by rising geopolitical risks due to the Red Sea attacks and potential disruptions to shipping operations.
Red Sea Attacks Cause Global Trade Disruptions
More maritime carriers are avoiding the Red Sea due to attacks on vessels carried out by the Houthi rebels group, which says it is responding to Israel’s war in Gaza. The attacks have caused global trade disruptions through the Suez Canal, which handles about 12 percent of worldwide trade.
The United States on Tuesday launched a multinational operation to safeguard commerce in the Red Sea, but the Houthis said they would continue to carry out attacks.
Angola’s Departure from OPEC Raises Concerns
Despite the geopolitical tensions supporting oil, prices recorded day-on-day declines on Thursday as Angola announced it would leave OPEC.
The African nation—which produces around 1.1 million barrels per day of oil—said its membership of the organization was not serving its interests, having protested against the decision by the wider OPEC+ group to reduce Angola’s output quota for 2024.
“This course of action has been rather predictable because of Angola’s attitude at the last OPEC meeting, nonetheless it brings into mind percolating divisions that might beset unity going forward,” PVM’s Evans added.
The longevity of impact on prices is completely dependent on the length of time that shipping companies continue to steer clear of the area. What has exaggerated such impact is the lack of clarity on how, where and when the so-called naval coalition will turn up,” PVM analyst John Evans said.
Overall, oil prices are experiencing volatility due to the ongoing tensions in the Middle East and Angola’s decision to leave OPEC. The market will closely monitor developments in the region and the actions taken by shipping companies and naval coalitions to assess the long-term impact on oil prices.
By Robert Harvey
